Market outlook
Rising Outlook 8/10
Price uptrend from $42 (Dec 2025) to $65+ (Jan-Mar 2026), undervalued hype in collector videos driving interest[3][4]
Next months. Continued rise to $70-80 ungraded in next 3-6 months on low supply
Long term. Strong 1-3 year hold potential to $100+ ungraded if promo scarcity holds
History
Greninja is the final evolution of Froakie, a Water-type Pokémon from Generation VI (Pokédex #658), known as the Ninja Pokémon for its stealthy shuriken attacks and bond with trainers, gaining prominence as Ash Ketchum's ace Pokémon in the Pokémon anime XY series, symbolizing speed, agility, and powerful Torrent ability.
First printed in 2023 as an English-exclusive Black Star Promo (SVP #132) bundled free with Pokémon Center merchandise purchases and the Shrouded Fable Special Illustration Collection box.
- English-exclusive promo not released in Japanese, Chinese, or other languages, increasing global demand[3]
- Features competitive attacks like Torrential Slash (120+ damage if damage counters present) and Stealthy Shuriken (40 to bench)[1][2][6]
- Tied to Shrouded Fable set promo, visually striking full art design compared to similar promos like Pikachu with Grey Felt Hat[3][5]
Rarity and print run
- Tier
- Ultra Rare
- Print run
- Low
- First printed in
- Scarlet & Violet Promos (SVP)
- Demand
- High
- Supply
- Low
- English-exclusive promo limited to Pokémon Center and Shrouded Fable box purchases[3]
- Fewer copies than comparable Pikachu Grey Felt Hat promo[3]
- No international reprints boosting chase factor
Collector notes
Condition. Check for edge whitening, surface scratches on glossy full art, centering issues common in promo pulls, print lines or dimples from collection box packaging.
Storage. Use semi-rigid holders or top loaders with sleeves, store upright in cool, dry place away from sunlight to prevent fading on artwork.
Authenticity. Verify holo pattern consistency, black star promo stamp alignment, English text exclusivity (no JP/Chinese versions); scan QR code on official sites, avoid miscut edges or blurry attacks indicating counterfeits.
Sources: limitlesstcg.com, pokemoncard.io, youtube.com, pricecharting.com, tcgplayer.com