Mega Greninja ex

Market outlook

Rising Outlook 8/10

Demand is being driven by Greninja’s enduring popularity, premium rarity, and collector interest in Mega Evolution-era cards. As sealed product ages and copies are absorbed into collections, available supply should tighten, especially for high-grade examples.

Next months. Likely to remain volatile but strong, with premium copies outperforming average modern cards if set supply tightens.

Long term. Over 1-3 years, high-grade copies are likely to appreciate gradually if the card remains a key chase and the set does not receive substantial reprint pressure.

History

Greninja is a Water-type Pokémon introduced in Generation VI (the Kalos region) and is the final evolution of Froakie. It is one of the franchise's most popular starter-line Pokémon, known for its ninja-inspired design, speed, and stealth motif. In the TCG, Mega Greninja ex represents a Mega Evolution form of Greninja, making it a marquee chase card and a natural headliner for a set built around Mega Evolution-era nostalgia and competitive appeal.

First released in English in the Chaos Rising expansion in 2026 as card 116/086 in the Full Art ultra rare slot. The card was also first printed in Japan in the equivalent Ninja Spinner expansion before being localized for English release.

• This is a Mega Evolution Pokémon ex card, and when it is Knocked Out the opponent takes 3 Prize cards under the Mega Evolution ex rule.
• The set’s top-end rarity structure includes this card as a Secret Rare Full Art, making it a key chase card despite not being the highest rarity in the set.
• The Japanese version of the card originated in Ninja Spinner, and the English release followed in Chaos Rising; the special illustration rare version is part of a connected artwork line with Froakie and Frogadier.

Rarity and print run

Tier

Secret Rare

Print run

Low

First printed in

Chaos Rising

Demand

Very High

Supply

Low

• Secret Rare Full Art slot rather than a standard rare slot
• Chase-card status in a set with multiple premium variants
• Popular character with broad fanbase demand
• Pulled from modern packs where hit distribution is limited

Collector notes

Condition. Check for whitening on corners and edges, especially the black border areas of a Full Art card. Look for surface scratches, print lines, roller marks, and visible scuffing on the foil texture. Centering is important for grading, and Full Art cards often show edge wear or small production nicks more easily than regular cards.

Storage. Use a penny sleeve immediately and store in a rigid top loader or semi-rigid holder for higher-value copies. Keep the card away from heat, moisture, and direct sunlight. For raw copies, consider a sleeve-and-toploader setup inside a team bag to reduce dust and friction.

Authenticity. Verify correct set numbering, texture pattern, font consistency, and holofoil behavior. Fake Full Arts may have flat or incorrect texture, blurred text, off-color borders, or weak layering in the image. Compare with official scan references for the English Chaos Rising print and confirm the card number 116/086, since counterfeiters often mislabel chase cards.