Market outlook
Rising Outlook 7/10
The card's Secret Rare status, Full Art variant, and inclusion in the Mega Evolution Series drive collector interest. Graded versions (graded 10, graded 10) show strong price appreciation, indicating upward momentum[4][6].
Next months. Prices likely to rise over the next 3–6 months as graded copies become more sought after and ungraded copies stabilize around $12–$15[3][7].
Long term. Over 1–3 years, value may increase further due to the card's scarcity and association with the Mega Evolution sub-series, potentially reaching $80–$100 for graded 10 copies[4].
History
Frogadier is the Stage 1 evolution of Froakie in the Pokémon franchise, a Water-type Pokémon known for its agile movements and bubble-producing throat. It serves as a key character in the Mega Evolution sub-series, particularly in the Chaos Rising set, emphasizing its role in competitive Pokémon TCG gameplay[1][6].
The Frogadier card was first released in the ME04: Chaos Rising set of the Mega Evolution Series, which had an official release date of May 22, 2026[5][6].
- The card bears the number 089/086 and is classified as an Illustration Rare (Secret Rare) with Full Art variant[3][5].
- Multiple graded versions exist, with graded 10 copies reaching $64.99 and graded 9 copies at $12.78 as of May 2026[4].
- Greninja, Frogadier's final evolution, also appears in the Chaos Rising set, linking the evolutionary line in the same expansion[2].
Rarity and print run
- Tier
- Secret Rare
- Print run
- Low
- First printed in
- ME04: Chaos Rising
- Demand
- High
- Supply
- Scarce
- Low print run as an Illustration Rare (089/086) in ME04: Chaos Rising
- Full Art variant increases collector appeal and limits availability
- Part of the Mega Evolution sub-series, which has niche but dedicated demand[3][5]
Collector notes
Condition. Key flaws include off-centering, creases, and edge wear typical of Full Art Secret Rares. Check for flickering holographic patterns and ensure the bubble texture on the throat is intact[3].
Storage. Store in acid-free sleeves within a rigid toploader, kept in a cool, dry environment away from direct light. Use a storage box with silica gel to prevent moisture damage[4].
Authenticity. Fakes often lack the precise Full Art border, have dull holographic effects, or show misaligned text. Verify the card number (089/086) and rarity stamp (Illustration Rare) against official sources[3][5].
Sources: dextcg.com, youtube.com, pricecharting.com, dittobase.com, tcgplayer.com
