Market outlook
Declining Outlook 6/10
Raw prices down 3.8% recently amid post-hype correction for SWSH-era cards; oversupply from initial print run
Next months. Stable to slight decline; raw under $5, graded 10 $30-60
Long term. Stable collector item; potential rise if Greninja returns in new games/anime, but unlikely to chase vintage highs
History
Greninja is a Generation VI Pokémon from the Kalos region, evolving from Froakie through Frogadier. It is a Water/Dark-type frog ninja Pokémon known for its speed, agility, and signature move Water Shuriken. Radiant Greninja depicts a shiny variant with a radiant ethereal glow, emphasizing its battle cry ability that boosts damage after taking damage, making it a staple in competitive Pokémon TCG decks.
First released May 27, 2022, in the Pokémon Sword & Shield - Astral Radiance expansion set in English worldwide
- Radiant Pokémon are a special subset introduced in Astral Radiance featuring shiny-like artwork and the 'Can't attack on the first turn' rule
- Greninja's TCG history dates back to XY era with multiple iterations, but Radiant version is highly sought for its stunning holo pattern
- Features unique Ability 'Battle Cry' which increases damage output progressively
Rarity and print run
- Tier
- Ultra Rare
- Print run
- High
- First printed in
- Sword & Shield - Astral Radiance (SWSH10)
- Demand
- Medium
- Supply
- High
- Radiant Rare pull rate ~1:18 packs
- High set print run dilutes availability
- No chase variants or errors boosting scarcity
Collector notes
Condition. Check for centering issues on radiant holo pattern (prone to off-centering), surface scratches on etched foil, edge whitening from sleeves, print lines on intricate artwork, and corner dings common in radiant rares
Storage. Use semi-rigid or Dragon Shield matte sleeves with top loaders (minimum 35pt), store in cool dry place away from sunlight to prevent holo oxidation, avoid stacking unsleeved
Authenticity. Verify holo pattern matches official radiant etch (starry texture), check card weight/thickness (fakes often lighter), inspect black market indicator on back, use graded or graded authentication for high value; no reprints known
Sources: psacard.com, sportscardinvestor.com, cardhedger.com, pricecharting.com, tcgplayer.com