Market outlook
Rising Outlook 7/10
The card's low print run, high collector demand, and its role as a chase card in the Mega Evolution series contribute to its upward trend. As more collectors seek out this card, prices are expected to continue rising, especially for graded copies[1][5].
Next months. Next 3–6 months: Prices will likely rise to $350–$450 for graded copies (graded 9 or 10), with ungraded copies reaching $200–$300. The market may see increased volatility due to potential reprints or new promotions[5].
Long term. 1–3 years: Prices could stabilize around $400–$500 for graded copies, with ungraded copies reaching $250–$350. The card's status as a legendary Mega Evolution Pokémon will keep it relevant in the collector community, ensuring steady demand[5].
History
Mega Greninja is the Mega Evolution of Greninja, a Water/Dark-type Pokémon known for its ninja-like speed and agility. As a Stage 2 Mega Evolution Pokémon ex, it gains enhanced stats and the ability to use powerful attacks like 'Ninja Spinner,' which shares its name with the Japanese expansion where it was first released. Its significance in the Pokémon TCG stems from its high HP (350), powerful Mega Evolution rule (opponent takes 3 Prize cards when knocked out), and its role as a chase card in the Chaos Rising expansion[1].
This card was first released as part of the Chaos Rising expansion, which debuted in the Japanese Ninja Spinner expansion (released May 22, 2026)[1][4]. It was later reprinted in English as a MEP Promotional card in the Mega Greninja ex Premium Collection, available July 3, 2026[1].
- Mega Greninja ex was included in four versions in Chaos Rising: Regular, Full Art ultra rare, Special Illustration Rare, and gold-etched Mega hyper rare[1].
- The Regular, Full Art, and Mega hyper rare prints feature artwork by takuyoa, while the Special Illustration Rare features artwork by Susumu Maeya[1].
- In the Special Illustration Rare print, the card forms a combined illustration with the Illustration Rare prints of Froakie and Frogadier from the same set[1].
Rarity and print run
- Tier
- Secret Rare
- Print run
- Low
- First printed in
- Chaos Rising (Japanese: Ninja Spinner)
- Demand
- High
- Supply
- Scarce
- Only 4 versions of this card exist in Chaos Rising, including Regular, Full Art, Special Illustration Rare, and Mega hyper rare[1].
- The print run for Chaos Rising was limited, with only 116 cards in the set, and Mega Greninja ex is one of the 18 ultra rare Pokémon and trainer cards[1][2].
- The Special Illustration Rare variant is especially rare due to its combined illustration with Froakie and Frogadier, making it a unique collectible[1].
Collector notes
Condition. Key flaws to check include centering (especially for Full Art variants), corner dings, edge wear, and surface scratches. Since this is a Secret Rare Full Art, look for any whitening on the edges or print defects that may affect the holographic finish. The Special Illustration Rare variant is particularly sensitive to creasing due to its larger art panel[1][7].
Storage. Store in a pH-neutral, rigid card sleeve (like a Dragon Shield or Ultra Pro Perfect Fit) and place in a non-humid, temperature-controlled environment. For long-term preservation, use a toploader or airtight container to prevent moisture damage. Avoid direct sunlight to prevent fading of the holographic elements[1].
Authenticity. Fakes often have incorrect card stock thickness, blurry artwork, or missing holographic patterns. The real card should have a distinct holographic shimmer on the Full Art and Special Illustration Rare versions. Check the card number (116/086) and the set symbol (ME04) for accuracy. Authentication by graded, Beckett, or graded can confirm authenticity, especially for high-value copies[1][7].
Sources: bulbapedia.bulbagarden.net, youtube.com, pokemon.com, reddit.com, tcgplayer.com