Mega Greninja ex

Market outlook

Rising Outlook 7/10

The card benefits from strong character popularity, chase-card status, and early coverage showing it leading the set’s value tier.[6] As the set settles and grading populations emerge, premium copies typically remain desirable if supply stays limited.[3][8]

Next months. Likely to remain volatile but supported, with Near Mint raw and graded premium copies holding relatively firm unless heavy supply enters the market.

Long term. If the card remains one of the defining chase cards of the set, higher-grade copies should appreciate gradually, while raw copies may stabilize as supply increases.

History

Mega Greninja ex is a Mega Evolution of Greninja, the Water-type final evolution of Froakie from the Pokémon video game and animated franchise. Greninja is one of the most recognizable modern Pokémon due to its fast, ninja-themed design and strong competitive/gameplay presence; Mega Greninja ex continues that identity as a higher-power Mega Evolution card in the Pokémon TCG.[3][4]

The card was first released in Japan as part of the M4: Ninja Spinner expansion, where Mega Greninja ex appears as card 116/083, a Secret Rare Full Art variant.[3][8] The English-language equivalent is tied to the later Chaos Rising release, which included Mega Greninja ex across multiple rarities, with the Full Art version matching this card concept.[3]

• The Japanese set name is Ninja Spinner, while the English expansion is Chaos Rising.[3][8]
• Mega Greninja ex is a Stage 2 Water-type Mega Evolution Pokémon ex with 350 HP, and its main attack/ability focus is damage-counter spread through Mortal Shuriken plus the Ninja Spinner attack.[3][4]
• This card is one of the chase cards of the set and was quoted at roughly $250 in Japan shortly after release, with market commentary noting it led the set’s secret rares by a wide margin.[6]

Rarity and print run

Tier

Secret Rare

Print run

Low

First printed in

M4: Ninja Spinner

Demand

High

Supply

Medium

• Secret Rare slot in the set
• Full Art presentation with broader collector appeal
• Greninja is a highly collectible character with sustained demand
• Likely lower pull rate than regular and double rare versions

Collector notes

Condition. Check for edge whitening, corner wear, surface scratches, print lines, centering issues, and holofoil scuffs. Full Art cards are especially sensitive to whitening on the back edges and visible surface wear in the artwork frame. Secret Rare Full Arts also often show subtle factory print defects, so clean surface and strong centering matter a lot for grading.

Storage. Store in a penny sleeve inside a rigid top loader or semi-rigid card holder, keep away from humidity and direct sunlight, and use fresh sleeves for any handling. For higher-value copies, place in an airtight storage box with silica gel and avoid repeated sliding in and out of tight sleeves.

Authenticity. Verify correct set numbering, texture, holofoil pattern, font sharpness, and back-side color saturation. Fake cards often have blurry text, incorrect holographic texture, weak saturation, or off-center borders. Compare the card’s texture and printing finish to known authentic Full Art Pokémon ex cards from the same era, and if graded, confirm the cert matches the exact printing and number.