Ninetales

Market outlook

Declining Outlook 6/10

After a sudden price surge post-release, the graded 10 value has decreased to around $150, indicating a market correction. The card's volatility and recent decline suggest downward pressure, though scarcity remains a stabilizing factor.

Next months. Next 3–6 months: Prices may stabilize around $150–$180 for graded 10 copies, with potential minor fluctuations based on collector demand and new releases.

Long term. 1–3 years: If collector interest in Scarlet and Violet series remains strong, the card could appreciate due to its scarcity. However, if the market continues to correct, prices may remain flat or decline slightly.

History

Ninetales is the evolved form of Vulpix, a Fire-type Pokémon first introduced in the original Pokémon Red and Blue games (1996). It is known as the 'Fairy Pokémon' and is revered for its beautiful, nine-tailed appearance and the ability to create illusions using its tail fire. In the Pokémon universe, it is often associated with ancient legends and mystical powers.

This specific Illustration Rare version of Ninetales (199/197) was first released in North America in November 2023 as part of the SV03: Obsidian Flames set, which is part of the Pokémon Scarlet and Violet series.

• The card number 199/197 indicates it is a Secret Rare exceeding the standard set count.
• It is an Illustration Rare, featuring a full-art design with no borders and enhanced artwork.
• The card's base HP is 120, and it is a Fire-type Stage 1 Pokémon.
• Not long after release, the card was extremely cheap but experienced a sudden surge in price, particularly in graded 10 condition.
• As of mid-2026, the graded 10 value has decreased to around $150, though lowest listed graded 10 prices are $285.

Rarity and print run

Tier

Secret Rare

Print run

Low

First printed in

SV03: Obsidian Flames

Demand

Medium

Supply

Scarce

• Card number 199/197 exceeds the standard set count, indicating low print availability.
• Illustration Rare status with full-art design limits production volume.
• Only one printing exists in the SV03: Obsidian Flames set.
• Low print run estimated based on Pokémon's standard Secret Rare practices.

Collector notes

Condition. Key flaws to check include centering (especially for rare cards), corner wear, edge whitening, and surface scratches. For Illustration Rares, the glossy surface is prone to scuffing. Ensure the holographic pattern is intact and not faded. Common flaws include slight misalignment in printing and minor creases.

Storage. Store the card in a rigid top loader or a semi-rigid sleeve, then place it in an acid-free magnetic holder or a card box kept in a cool, dry environment away from direct sunlight. Avoid plastic bags that can trap moisture. For long-term storage, consider graded, Beckett, or graded grading to preserve value and condition.

Authenticity. Fakes often have incorrect font types, poor color saturation, or lack the proper holographic pattern. The card number 199/197 is a key identifier; unauthorized prints may use incorrect numbering. Check for the correct 'Pokémon TCG' logo and the '2023' copyright date. Graded copies (e.g., graded 10) provide the highest assurance of authenticity. Use a UV light to detect reprints or altered edges.